Wednesday, November 7, 2012

Pundit Forecasts All Wrong, Silver Perfectly Right. Is Punditry Dead?

nate_silver_rect-460x307The New York Times election statistician Nate Silver perfectly predicted all 50 states last night for President Obama, while every single major pundit was wrong -- some comically wrong. Despite being derided by TV talking heads as a liberal hack, Silver definitively proved that geeks with mathematical models were superior to the gut feelings and pseudo-statistics of so-called political experts. The big question is, will the overwhelming success of statistical models make pundit forecasting obsolete, or will producers stubbornly keep them on the air?

Source: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/Techcrunch/~3/YPkHILwSF1Q/

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